Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.002322 0.002453 0.002593 0.002754 0.002935 0.003132 0.003367
2025-04-13 0.002099 0.002276 0.002474 0.002715 0.003003 0.003344 0.003785
2025-04-20 0.001884 0.002074 0.002294 0.002571 0.002917 0.003348 0.003945
2025-04-27 0.001787 0.001996 0.002244 0.002567 0.002991 0.003547 0.004376
2025-05-04 0.001740 0.001969 0.002249 0.002627 0.003145 0.003867 0.005039
2025-05-11 0.001674 0.001914 0.002212 0.002625 0.003211 0.004069 0.005571
2025-05-18 0.001647 0.001903 0.002229 0.002694 0.003382 0.004452 0.006519
2025-05-25 0.001591 0.001852 0.002188 0.002678 0.003422 0.004631 0.007152
2025-06-01 0.001531 0.001791 0.002130 0.002631 0.003410 0.004718 0.007625
2025-06-08 0.001511 0.001781 0.002140 0.002683 0.003557 0.005111 0.008983
2025-06-15 0.001486 0.001764 0.002138 0.002715 0.003675 0.005474 0.010520
2025-06-22 0.001443 0.001719 0.002094 0.002681 0.003674 0.005598 0.011445
2025-06-29 0.001388 0.001658 0.002027 0.002609 0.003609 0.005595 0.012025
2025-07-06 0.001348 0.001617 0.001988 0.002579 0.003616 0.005752 0.013412
2025-07-13 0.001283 0.001538 0.001889 0.002449 0.003429 0.005443 0.012591
2025-07-20 0.001257 0.001514 0.001871 0.002447 0.003479 0.005693 0.014633
2025-07-27 0.001249 0.001514 0.001887 0.002502 0.003643 0.006265 0.019752
2025-08-03 0.001227 0.001492 0.001869 0.002500 0.003695 0.006570 0.024460
2025-08-10 0.001222 0.001496 0.001890 0.002563 0.003888 0.007347 0.040992
2025-08-17 0.001199 0.001471 0.001866 0.002548 0.003913 0.007628 0.057031
2025-08-24 0.001170 0.001438 0.001829 0.002506 0.003875 0.007691 0.071398
2025-08-31 0.001164 0.001438 0.001841 0.002553 0.004042 0.008548 0.407959
2025-09-07 0.001154 0.001431 0.001844 0.002582 0.004174 0.009366 NaN